Monday, July 8

Trading outlook for /YM

Posted by Unknown
/YM

Dow futures were trading higher this morning awaiting  Alcoa to kick off the earnings season for second quarter, and ignoring the last night selloff in China of -2.4%, based on worries of Fed tappering and the news that Bejing will no longer extend credit to overcapacity sectors. Regarding US economic reports, today will be quiet day with only consumer credit data due to be released. Escalation in Egypt crisis might extend the last week rally in brent crude oil prices amid supply disruptions and growing demand in US.

The monthly and weekle chart clearly show that the uptrend has not been broken, still holding strong on 10ema and 20 ema respectively. If you compare the stochastics on monthly chart they have already turned down, but weekly stochastics are showing us that there might be another move to the highs before it goes south.



On a daily chart the picture is slightly different short term wise. Having broken down below 50 day moving average three weeks ago, today its trading just above it. If it succeed to stay above 50dma by the end of the week we will expect 20ema and 10 ema to cross 50dma, which will signal accelerated move towards the previous high levels in area of 15400.


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